The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.There are 695 listed companies in Jiangsu Province. According to the latest statistics of Jiangsu Listed Companies Association, there were 695 listed companies in Jiangsu Province by the end of November, including 15 new companies this year. Among the 695 companies, there are 216 main boards of Shanghai Stock Exchange, 110 in science and technology innovation board, 126 main boards of Shenzhen Stock Exchange (including one pure B-share), 196 Growth Enterprise Market and 47 North Stock Exchange. By geographical distribution, the total number of listed companies in Suzhou is far ahead in the province, reaching 219, 124 in Nanjing, 123 in Wuxi and 72 in Changzhou. In terms of A-shares, as of the end of November, there were 694 A-share listed companies in Jiangsu Province with a total market value of 6,745.231 billion yuan, accounting for 12.92% and 7.80% of the corresponding total of A-share listed companies respectively.
The news of the US stock market was delivered before the market. ① The three major stock index futures of the US stock market fell, and the market focused on PPI data. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.19%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.18%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.27%. (3) Germany's DAX index rose by 0.06%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.11%, France's CAC40 index fell by 0.04% and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.03%. ④WTI crude oil fell 0.06% to 70.25 USD/barrel. Brent crude oil fell 0.07% to $73.47/barrel. ⑤ American finance is under great pressure, with a budget deficit of $366.8 billion in November, up 17% year-on-year. ⑥ ING is bearish on the prospect of commodities next year, and gold is expected to outshine others. ⑦ Macy's department store fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors. 8 Broadcom's share price rose by 4.3% before the market closed. In the news, Apple may cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI server chips. 9 ⑨Adobe's U.S. stocks fell by about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.The European Central Bank opened the door for further interest rate cuts. On Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates for the fourth time this year and opened the door for further interest rate cuts in the future, because inflation is close to its target and the economy is still weak. The European Central Bank lowered the deposit interest rate from 3.25% to 3.0%, and cancelled the statement that the interest rate remained "sufficiently restrictive", suggesting that it was possible to cut interest rates further. The European Central Bank said: "The financial environment is easing, because the recent interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank have gradually reduced the new borrowing costs of enterprises and households." "But the financial environment is still very tight, because monetary policy is still restrictive, and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to outstanding stock credit."The United States ITC issued a 337-part final ruling on the wireless front-end module and its downstream equipment. According to the China Trade Relief Information Network, on December 10, 2024, the United States International Trade Commission (ITC) issued a notice saying that it made a 337-part final ruling on a specific wireless front-end module and its downstream equipment: the preliminary ruling (No.13) made by the administrative judge in this case on November 8, 2024 will not be reviewed, that is, based on the withdrawal of the applicant, Kangxi Communication Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. and Ruijie Network Co., Ltd. are listed as defendants.
Domestic futures opened mixed at night, with Shanghai copper down 0.56%, Shanghai zinc down 0.39%, Shanghai nickel up 1.75%, iron ore up 0.06%, coking coal up 0.42% and crude oil up 1.15%.During the "slimming" of the brokerage business department, more than 100 companies were cancelled during the year, and the competition turned to differentiated services. The brokerage business of brokerage companies is welcoming a new round of changes. In the past few days, a number of brokers have announced the cancellation of their relevant business departments. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, in the past two weeks, many brokers such as Nanjing Securities, Guosen Securities and Pacific Securities announced that they would "streamline" their business departments. Looking at it for a long time, more than 35 brokers have issued announcements during the year, "downsizing" hundreds of business departments. Insiders pointed out that the traditional offline outlet business development model has increasingly shown drawbacks and high cost pressure; At the same time, more and more customers rely on online transactions and mobile terminal transactions, so it is imperative to "streamline" the business department to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Future competition depends more on differentiated financial management and trading services. (Shell Finance)Traders' interest rate expectations for the European Central Bank remain stable: it is expected to cut interest rates by 127 basis points in 2025.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14